| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Girls | 83% | 45¢ | 85¢ | — | $539 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 59% | 5¢ | 58¢ | — | $113 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 9% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $25 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taste Back | 0% | 0¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Are You Listening Yet? | 0% | 0¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ready, Steady, Go! | 0% | 0¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Season 2 Weight Loss | 0% | 0¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Waiting Game | 0% | 0¢ | 65¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Coming Up Roses | 0% | 0¢ | 35¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which single will be the #1 song on Spotify's US chart on Mar 9, 2026; it matters because the outcome reflects streaming momentum, promotional success, and public attention on that specific day.
Spotify's daily US chart is driven by stream counts from listeners in the United States and has become a central metric for commercial success in the music industry. Artists, labels, and streaming platforms coordinate release timing, playlist placement, and promotional campaigns to influence daily streaming totals, while viral social platforms can rapidly alter a song's trajectory.
Market prices represent the crowd's consensus about which song is most likely to occupy the top spot on that specific date and will move as new information (releases, playlist adds, viral moments) becomes public.
Settlement will follow the market's rulebook using Spotify's publicly reported US daily chart or stream data for Mar 9, 2026; consult the market's official rule page for the exact data feed and tie-breaking procedures.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; the final result is typically known after Spotify publishes the US daily chart for Mar 9, 2026 and any required verification or corrections are complete, per the market's settlement timeline.
Spotify counts streams by distinct track IDs; whether different versions are aggregated depends on how Spotify displays the song (for example, if variants are grouped under one chart entry or listed separately). The market will follow Spotify's chart conventions as specified in the rulebook.
A collaboration is treated as a single Spotify track with all credited artists; the chart position is tied to that specific track as listed, regardless of how many artists are credited.
Look at precedents such as strong first-day/first-week streaming for major releases, the outsized impact of editorial playlist adds, sudden surges from viral trends, and the effect of multiple simultaneous high-profile releases; these patterns can indicate which songs are most likely to contend for the top spot, though outcomes can shift quickly.