| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Girls | 89% | 85¢ | 89¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Ready, Steady, Go! | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Taste Back | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $600 | Trade → |
| Coming Up Roses | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $400 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 15% | 8¢ | 16¢ | — | $169 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 10% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Body | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paint By Numbers | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| iloveitiloveitiloveit | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Season 2 Weight Loss | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Are You Listening Yet? | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Waiting Game | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dance No More | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carla's Song | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be Spotify's top track in the United States on March 7, 2026; it matters because the outcome reflects streaming momentum, promotional effectiveness, and cultural attention on that specific day.
Spotify's daily country charts are driven by user listening and playlist placements; positions can shift rapidly around major releases, viral social-media moments, or coordinated fan streaming. Historical patterns show songs can rise quickly after a big release or sustained promotion, and incumbents can drop fast if attention shifts.
Prediction-market odds aggregate participants' information and reactions to real-world developments; treat them as a live indicator of market expectations that will change as new data (releases, viral trends, playlist adds) emerges.
The market resolves according to the data source and criteria specified on its KALSHI market page; in practice this is typically the track listed as #1 on Spotify's United States daily chart for March 7, 2026 as published by the designated provider—check the market description for the exact source and timestamp.
This market lists 27 outcomes; each outcome corresponds to a specific song the market creator selected as a candidate to be Spotify's top U.S. song on Mar 7, 2026, and exactly one outcome will resolve as correct per the stated data source.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event page—check KALSHI for updates; whether a same-day release affects the result depends on Spotify's daily aggregation window and the market's closing/resolution rules, so monitor both the market page and Spotify's chart reporting schedule.
Resolution follows Spotify's official attribution of streams: if Spotify aggregates versions under one canonical track or attributes chart positions to a specific remix, the market will use that listing as the basis for resolution; review the market's resolution text for any additional specifics.
Tie-breaking is governed by the market's resolution rules and the designated data source; if the market references Spotify's published #1 listing, that listing will determine the outcome; if rules are unclear, consult KALSHI's dispute-resolution guidance or contact support for the definitive procedure.