| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk It All | 68% | 57¢ | 69¢ | — | $939 | Trade → |
| Body | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 44% | 34¢ | 48¢ | — | $34 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| iloveitiloveitiloveit | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be the most-streamed track on Spotify’s United States daily chart on March 5, 2026. It matters because that single-day peak captures immediate popularity, promotional effectiveness, and short-term momentum in the U.S. music market.
Spotify’s Daily Top 200 (U.S.) ranks tracks by the number of streams recorded in Spotify’s U.S. region for a given date; the chart is highly sensitive to new releases, playlist placements, and viral moments. Historically, chart-topping days are driven by coordinated release timing, major editorial playlist adds, surges on TikTok and other social platforms, or high-profile live appearances and media coverage. Legacy catalog songs can re-emerge at the top when a remix, viral trend, or sync triggers renewed widespread streaming.
Prediction market prices reflect the aggregate view of traders on which song will top Spotify U.S. that day and should be read as relative market sentiment, not as guarantees. Use the market to compare how the market values momentum, promotional events, and risk across candidate songs.
This market will settle to whatever song Spotify’s official United States daily chart lists as number one for the date March 5, 2026; the event uses Spotify’s published U.S. daily Top 200 as the data source named in the market.
Settlement follows Spotify’s own daily reporting window as reflected in the U.S. daily chart dated March 5, 2026; for precise clock boundaries and timezone conventions, consult Spotify’s published chart documentation since the market uses Spotify’s published date labeling.
If Spotify’s published U.S. chart does not produce a single clearly designated number-one for that date, the market will settle according to the event’s official rules and data-sourcing procedures; check the market terms or contact the platform’s support for the tie-breaking or exceptional-settlement policy.
Only outcomes that were explicitly listed when the market was created are eligible for settlement; if the actual Spotify U.S. number-one track is not among the listed options, settlement will follow the market’s predetermined rules (for example an 'Other' outcome if provided, or the platform’s stated handling of out-of-list results).
Watch scheduled release dates and surprise drops, announcements of playlist adds on major Spotify editorial lists, rapid growth of short-form video trends using a track, major live performances or televised appearances, remix or featured-artist releases, and any high-visibility sync placements or news that could drive multi-demographic streaming spikes.