| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk It All | 58% | 57¢ | 58¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 44% | 41¢ | 48¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 1% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $531 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cha Cha Cha | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| God Was Showing Off | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which track will be the number-one song on Spotify's U.S. chart on March 2, 2026. The outcome matters because the U.S. Spotify top spot signals listener attention, promotional effectiveness, and often presages broader chart and cultural momentum.
Spotify's daily U.S. chart ranks tracks based on on-demand streams in the United States and is influenced by release timing, playlist placements, and viral social activity. Historically the #1 slot moves around major new releases, breakout viral tracks, high-profile performances, and shifts in editorial or algorithmic playlists; those same forces will shape the March 2, 2026 chart.
Market odds represent traders' collective expectations about which song will hold Spotify's U.S. #1 position on that date and will update as new information (releases, promotions, viral events) arrives. Treat the market as a near-term signal of consensus momentum rather than a static forecast.
It resolves to the track identified as #1 on Spotify's official U.S. daily chart for March 2, 2026 according to the market's settlement rules; check the contract for the exact data source and resolution procedure.
Daily chart cutoffs vary by provider; the market uses the time window specified in its rules. Because release timing near the cutoff can materially change counts, consult the market contract or the referenced Spotify reporting period for the exact boundary.
That depends on how Spotify groups versions in its chart and on the market's definition of 'song.' Some remixes are treated as separate tracks while others are combined; review the contract's definitions and Spotify's metadata handling.
Yes. Editorial playlist adds, large algorithmic placements, coordinated social campaigns, surprise drops, or high-profile appearances in the days immediately before March 2 can shift streaming totals and change the outcome.
Tie-breaking procedures are specified in the market's settlement rules and/or by the official data source; consult the contract for the exact tie resolution policy and the authoritative reporting used for settlement.