| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taste Back | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ready, Steady, Go! | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Coming Up Roses | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| iloveitiloveitiloveit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be the number‑one track on Spotify’s U.S. chart on March 12, 2026. The outcome signals which recording has the strongest streaming momentum in the U.S. on that specific date.
Spotify charts are driven by streaming activity and have become a primary measure of contemporary popular music success; chart peaks can boost radio play, media attention, and booking demand. Catalog dynamics, release strategies, editorial playlisting, and viral social‑media moments all shape who reaches the top on any given day. Major release cycles, award season exposure, and coordinated promotional pushes around early‑year releases can be especially influential in March.
Market prices reflect traders’ collective expectations about which song will be #1 on the specified date and will update as new information (releases, playlist adds, viral trends) arrives. They are indicators of perceived likelihood and change over time; the market resolves to whichever song Spotify reports as #1 for the U.S. chart on March 12, 2026.
This market resolves to whichever recording Spotify reports as the #1 entry on its U.S. chart for the chart day labeled March 12, 2026; resolution follows Spotify’s published chart for the U.S. region on that date.
Yes—if the song accumulates enough streams within Spotify’s tracking window that feed the March 12 chart, a very recent release can debut at #1; eligibility depends on when streams fall into Spotify’s charting period.
Spotify sometimes aggregates streams across versions when metadata links them as the same track; if versions are catalogued separately they may chart independently. Whether streams are combined depends on how the label and Spotify have grouped the releases.
Very important: editorial playlist placement can generate large, concentrated stream volume. A late‑breaking playlist add in the days leading up to March 12 can materially change stream totals and influence who reaches #1.
The market’s close time is listed as TBD—check the market page for any posted closing time; the 15 listed outcomes each correspond to a specific song option on the market, and the winning outcome will be the song that Spotify’s U.S. chart shows at #1 for March 12, 2026.