| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Girls | 81% | 60¢ | 80¢ | — | $734 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 1% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $30 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 9% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| The Waiting Game | 20% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 39% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 20% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 9% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Pop | 20% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Coming Up Roses | 20% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Ready, Steady, Go! | 40% | 0¢ | 39¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Season 2 Weight Loss | 20% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 20% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Are You Listening Yet? | 20% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Taste Back | 35% | 0¢ | 34¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 49¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific song will be the number-one track on Spotify's U.S. chart for March 10, 2026. It matters because the top Spotify song reflects real-time listening trends and can indicate broader commercial and cultural momentum for an artist or release.
Spotify's daily U.S. chart ranks songs by on-platform streams during the charting period; in the streaming era, chart positions respond rapidly to new releases, playlist editorial decisions, and viral moments. Historical examples show that surprise drops, major playlist adds, sync placements, and social-media virality can push older songs back to the top or elevate new singles quickly.
Market odds aggregate traders' current views about which song will lead Spotify U.S. streams on March 10, 2026, and update as new information arrives; they are a snapshot of collective belief, not a guaranteed forecast.
It refers to the single track that ranks first on Spotify's U.S. daily chart for the date March 10, 2026, based on Spotify's reported U.S. streaming activity for that charting period.
The event outcome is determined from Spotify's official U.S. daily chart corresponding to March 10, 2026; the market settles using the designated data source specified by the platform, so consult that source or the market's rules for the exact settlement reference and timing.
Spotify tracks streams by individual track IDs; if different versions are uploaded as separate track IDs they may be counted separately unless Spotify aggregates them, so the specific treatment depends on how Spotify reports the track on its U.S. chart for that date.
Yes—catalog songs can and do return to number one when driven by renewed attention (viral trends, media placements, anniversaries), so both new releases and older tracks are eligible to top the chart on that date.
Ties are uncommon; the market will follow the settlement procedure defined by the platform and/or Spotify's chart provider—check the event's market rules for tie-break or resolution details.