| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Friend, a Murderer: Limited Series | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Dinosaurs: Season 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Love Is Blind: The Reunion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ONE PIECE: Season 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Age of Attraction: Season 1 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BTS THE COMEBACK LIVE | ARIRANG | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Virgin River: Season 7 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The TikTok Killer: Limited Series | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bridgerton: Season 4 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raw: 2026 - March 9, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which title will be the Top US Netflix Show during a specified week, letting traders express expectations about short-term viewer attention. It matters because weekly top placement signals audience momentum and can affect renewals, publicity, and cultural conversation.
Netflix publishes weekly U.S. Top 10 lists that aggregate viewer activity; different titles rise and fall based on new releases, promotions, and viewing patterns. Markets like this aggregate crowd expectations about that weekly ranking, offering a way to track how observers weigh release schedules, marketing pushes, and early audience response.
Market prices reflect how participants collectively expect the weekly ranking to resolve and update as new information arrives; interpret them as real-time consensus signals rather than fixed forecasts. Because the market closes at a specified time and resolution depends on Netflix's published ranking, check the contract terms for how 'this week' is defined.
The market resolves to whichever title is listed as the number-one entry on Netflix’s published U.S. weekly Top 10 for the relevant measurement window; consult the market contract for the exact Netflix source and any tie-breaking rules.
The event uses the weekly reporting window specified in the market contract (Netflix’s published week); the market's close time is listed on the market page and is currently TBD, so check the contract or market page for the official close and resolution window.
The ten outcomes are the candidate show titles named by the market creator as plausible contenders for the weekly top spot; the market page shows the full list and any alternates or 'other' outcomes—verify there for exact titles.
Resolution in a tie follows the market’s stated settlement rules—some contracts specify Netflix’s ordering, others split payouts or use a predefined tie-breaker; always read the explicit resolution clause on the market page.
Look at past weeks to see how quickly new releases climb, how genre and franchise entries perform, the impact of simultaneous competing drops, and whether a title sustained momentum after premiere week—these patterns help assess likelihoods without relying on real-time odds.