| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridgerton: Season 4 | 99% | 97¢ | 99¢ | — | $36K | Trade → |
| Harry Styles. One Night in Manchester. | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Vladimir | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Night Agent: Season 3 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Love Is Blind: Ohio | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Famous Last Words: Eric Dane | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $797 | Trade → |
| Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $398 | Trade → |
| The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $237 | Trade → |
| Taylor Tomlinson: Prodigal Daughter | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $143 | Trade → |
| The Hunting Party: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $73 | Trade → |
| Raw: 2026 - February 23, 2026 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Ms. Rachel: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
This market asks which single show will be the #1 Netflix title in the U.S. during the specified week, providing a way to trade on near-term audience attention and cultural momentum. It matters because weekly streaming leadership signals viewer behavior, marketing effectiveness, and cultural impact.
Netflix weekly charts are typically dominated by new season drops, high-profile limited series, reality formats, and globally popular IP; legacy hits can also resurge from social buzz or algorithmic renewals. Entertainment calendars (release dates, awards, holidays) and competing platform releases have historically shifted weekly rankings.
Market prices represent traders' aggregated expectations about which show will top the U.S. Netflix list for the week and will move as release news, ratings reports, and publicity arrive. Resolution follows the exchange's stated rules and the data source used to determine the weekly #1 show.
It refers to which single show is ranked #1 on Netflix's U.S. measurements for the defined weekly period used by the market; the market will resolve to the show that the exchange declares as the weekly #1 per its resolution rules.
'This week' covers the specific seven-day measurement window the exchange uses to determine the weekly #1; 'Closes: TBD' means the exchange has not yet posted the market's official cut-off time, so traders should monitor the event page for the announced close and resolution schedule.
Each outcome corresponds to a named show included in the market; if the actual Netflix #1 is not among the listed outcomes, the market's resolution rules (for example a 'none of the above' rule or cancellation procedures) will specify how the event is settled—check the exchange's event details.
The exchange will use its stated authoritative data source for resolution—commonly Netflix's official U.S. Top 10 lists or Netflix-published viewership statistics—and that source is specified in the market's resolution criteria.
Shows that premiere early in the measurement week have more time to accumulate viewing, while mid- or late-week drops must generate unusually intense immediate viewing or viral attention to overtake competitors; traders typically watch release schedules and early-viewing indicators closely.