| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridgerton: Season 4 | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $25K | Trade → |
| Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Love Is Blind: Ohio | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| The Night Agent: Season 3 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Famous Last Words: Eric Dane | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Hunting Party: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Katt Williams: The Last Report | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $995 | Trade → |
| Raw: 2026 - February 16, 2026 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $650 | Trade → |
| Sommore: Chandelier Fly | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $83 | Trade → |
This market asks which Netflix title will be the number‑one show in the United States for a given week on KALSHI. It matters because weekly rankings capture short‑term audience attention and can signal cultural momentum for shows and creators.
Netflix weekly top‑show rankings are driven by recent releases, season drops, and short‑term viewing spikes; marketplaces like this let traders express expectations about that weekly winner. This contract lists ten candidate outcomes, has seen meaningful activity (total volume traded $71,267), and remains open with a closing time listed as TBD on the market page. Historical weeks show frequent turnover when new seasons or viral moments occur, so past leaders are an imperfect guide to future weeks.
Market prices here reflect the crowd’s expectation about which of the ten listed shows will be #1 in the U.S. for the specified week and update as new information (release dates, publicity, viewing trends) becomes available.
It means the contract resolves to whichever of the ten listed titles is reported by Netflix as the number‑one show in the United States for the specified weekly period; consult the market's rules for how that Netflix report is identified for resolution.
The precise start and end times for the week are defined in the market's rules on KALSHI; if not explicit on the summary, the market will reference the reporting window used for the Netflix Top 10 chart or a specific timezone and daily cutoff described in the contract.
The ten outcomes are the candidate shows listed on the market page; only those predefined outcomes are used for resolution unless the contract specifies an alternative resolution path—see the market page for the full outcome list.
Resolution depends on the contract's predefined rules: some markets include an 'other' outcome, others specify cancellation/refund or adjudication procedures. Check the market’s resolution section for the policy that applies to this event.
The market's close time is currently listed as TBD on the event page; KALSHI will close trading at the time specified on the market page and then finalize the outcome after the applicable Netflix weekly report is published, per the platform's stated finalization procedures.