| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| War Machine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuremberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nobody 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jurassic World Rebirth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trap House | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trolls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jurassic World: Dominion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Captive | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Bad Guys 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Bad Guardian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sisu: Road to Revenge | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BTS: THE RETURN | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anaconda | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which film will be the Top US Netflix Movie during the market's referenced week on Kalshi. It matters because it captures short-term shifts in streaming demand and lets traders express views on which title will dominate U.S. viewership that week.
Netflix regularly publishes weekly rankings and viewership metrics that determine which titles lead in hours or rank, and those public metrics are the typical basis for weekly 'top movie' designations. Weekly top positions move quickly after major releases, marketing pushes, or platform featuring; holidays, franchise launches, and star-driven premieres often produce the biggest changes. Because streaming measurement and reporting practices evolve, historical patterns help but do not guarantee future outcomes.
Market prices and odds reflect the collective expectations of traders and will update as new information arrives (releases, reviews, placement on Netflix homepages, etc.). Treat prices as a dynamic signal of market sentiment rather than a fixed forecast—they can shift rapidly around release dates and data updates.
Resolution follows the contract's published rules; typically that means using Netflix's publicly released U.S. weekly Top 10 or Most Viewed data for the contract week and identifying the title ranked #1 under those metrics. Consult the specific contract terms on the platform for exact tie-breakers and data sources.
The contract specifies the week definition (for example a calendar Mon–Sun or another defined range) and the relevant time zone; check the market’s terms for the precise start and end dates because Netflix's reporting week may influence resolution timing.
Each of the 10 outcomes corresponds to a candidate movie listed in the market at launch; markets commonly limit the number of selectable outcomes to focus liquidity on the likeliest contenders and to match the platform's structure.
A $0 volume reading means no trades have executed on this market yet; low or no volume implies current prices may be thinly traded and can move sharply when participants start placing orders.
Yes—if the film generates enough viewing activity during the defined week (through heavy opening-day streams, platform placement, or viral attention) it can top the weekly ranking, though late-week releases have less time to accumulate hours and therefore face a practical disadvantage.