| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurassic World Rebirth | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| War Machine | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Joe’s College Road Trip | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Trap House | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Dinosaurs | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Firebreak | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Orphans | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $491 | Trade → |
| Fall | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $480 | Trade → |
| The Addams Family | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $419 | Trade → |
| The Expendables 4 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $149 | Trade → |
This market asks which title will be the Top US Netflix Movie this week, letting traders express views on short-term streaming popularity. It matters because weekly chart positions reflect audience attention, marketing effectiveness, and cultural buzz.
Netflix releases weekly Top 10 charts that capture which movies are drawing the most hours in the U.S.; those rankings shift quickly when new releases or promotional pushes occur. Historically, newly released tentpoles, franchise entries, and heavily promoted theatrical-to-streaming window films frequently reach the top spot, while older catalog titles can resurge due to viral social media or placement on Netflix’s homepage. The market aggregates participant expectations about which title will occupy #1 during the week covered by the event.
Market prices summarize traders’ collective expectations about which movie will finish the week at #1 on Netflix’s U.S. movie chart; prices can move rapidly as viewing data, promotions, and social signals change. Treat prices as real-time market sentiment, not final viewership figures.
Settlement is based on Netflix’s official U.S. weekly movie ranking as specified by the market’s settlement rules; the title listed as #1 for the applicable week is the winning outcome.
‘This week’ refers to the specific Netflix weekly charting period used for settlement (the period the market creator designates). A TBD close means the exchange has not yet published the market’s final trading deadline or settlement window — check the event page for updates until the close is announced.
The 11 outcomes cover a set of candidate movie titles that the market creator identified as plausible top-chart contenders plus an outcome to capture any title not explicitly listed; choices reflect titles trending or expected at listing time.
Monitor Netflix’s daily/weekly Top 10 U.S. charts, official Netflix announcements, entertainment trade coverage of viewership or promotion, social media virality metrics, and release/availability schedules — these signals often precede visible moves in the market.
Markets resolve according to the exchange’s settlement procedure and declared data source; if Netflix alters methodology or delays publishing, the exchange will issue guidance and apply its rules for obtaining the authoritative result or seeking arbitration, so watch official exchange communications for the resolution method.