| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurassic World Rebirth | 98% | 95¢ | 98¢ | — | $62K | Trade → |
| The Addams Family | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Joe’s College Road Trip | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| The Expendables 4 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| How to Train Your Dragon | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Fall | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| The Addams Family 2 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Firebreak | 8% | 0¢ | 30¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| The Orphans | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Homefront | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $906 | Trade → |
| A Father's Miracle | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $119 | Trade → |
This market asks which movie will be the Top US Netflix Movie for the specified tracking week; it matters because the weekly #1 reflects what millions of viewers are watching and drives cultural conversation and downstream media coverage.
Netflix publishes weekly Top 10 lists for the U.S. that capture which films and series drew the most attention during a defined measurement window. New releases, platform promotion, awards buzz and competing streaming or theatrical releases all shape which title rises to #1 in a given week. Prediction markets let traders express and aggregate expectations about that outcome.
Market prices represent the crowd’s evolving expectation about which movie will finish #1; interpret them as a real-time signal of collective belief, not a guaranteed outcome.
Resolution follows the measurement window defined by the market creator and/or Netflix’s published weekly list; check the event page for the specific tracking dates. If the market page does not specify, the market will use the Netflix weekly chart period as interpreted in the market’s resolution rules.
The market resolves to whatever Netflix uses or whatever the market’s resolution rules specify — Netflix’s weekly film rankings have historically been based on total hours viewed in the U.S., but the market will follow the exact metric and source noted in its rules.
Tie handling depends on the market’s resolution policy: some markets include explicit tie outcomes, others apply a tiebreaker rule or defer to Netflix’s own published ordering. Consult the market’s resolution rules on the event page to see how ties are handled here.
The event creator selected a slate of candidate titles (13 outcomes) that they judged most likely to reach #1; selection criteria typically include recent releases, titles receiving heavy promotion, and historically popular library films. See the event notes for the specific selection basis.
Yes — any movie available on Netflix in the U.S. during the measurement window can top the weekly list, and non-original acquisitions frequently reach #1 depending on viewership and promotion.