| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaconda | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Madagascar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Minions: The Rise of Gru | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Black and Blue | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Clika | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Bad Guys 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Thrash | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Beast | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Untold: Chess Mates | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks which title captures the top spot on Netflix’s 'Top 10 Movies in the U.S.' list for the current week. It serves as a sentiment gauge for mainstream viewership trends and the immediate cultural impact of new film releases.
Netflix updates its top 10 lists daily, aggregating viewership data based on total hours watched or views per title. Competition for the top spot is typically driven by high-profile original premieres, celebrity-led projects, or sudden viral phenomena that dominate social media discourse. Historical trends show that blockbuster action films and popular franchise sequels often experience brief but intense periods of high performance.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of which film will maintain the highest cumulative viewership through the designated reporting period.
The winner is determined by the official 'Top 10 Movies in the U.S.' list published by Netflix at the conclusion of the specified weekly period.
Because the ranking is based on total views within the reporting window, late-week releases must achieve significant velocity to overtake titles that have been available for the full week.
No, this market specifically focuses on the 'Movies' category as defined by Netflix’s separate reporting metrics.
Netflix currently calculates its rankings based on total views, which is the total hours viewed divided by the film's runtime, standardizing the comparison between long and short features.
Volatility is typically driven by the 'long-tail' effect of established hits versus the 'spike' effect of a major, highly-promoted premiere dropping on a Friday.