| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homewrecker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Body | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| EoO | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be listed as the number‑one entry on the Weekly Top Songs USA chart for the week of March 12, 2026. It matters because a #1 spot drives industry attention, radio programming, streaming momentum, and commercial opportunities for the artist and label.
Weekly popular-music charts aggregate multiple data sources — typically streaming, radio airplay, and sales — and have become more volatile since streaming and social platforms began driving rapid shifts. This KALSHI market presents 15 candidate outcomes representing plausible songs that could reach #1 that week; traders incorporate real‑time news (releases, playlist moves, viral trends) into prices.
Market prices represent the collective betting market’s current expectations and should be read as a real-time signal, not a guarantee. Because odds update with new information, use them alongside direct data sources (streaming tallies, airplay reports, official chart publications) to form judgments.
The market resolves to the chart specified in the market’s resolution rules on KALSHI; check the market description for the exact chart provider and published list that will determine the #1 for the week ending March 12, 2026.
The chart provider defines the tracking week (e.g., Friday–Thursday or similar) and that period determines the activity counted; consult the chart provider’s published methodology linked from the KALSHI market page for the precise dates.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific song/artist pairing that the market creator listed as a potential #1; the market page contains the full outcome list and exact spellings used for resolution.
Resolution follows the chart provider’s official tie‑breaking rules where applicable; if the provider’s published result is ambiguous or contested, KALSHI’s market resolution and dispute procedures (described on the market page) will be applied.
Watch last‑minute streaming surges, major playlist adds, sudden radio add weeks, announcements of high‑visibility performances or TV appearances, release of a remix or prominent feature, and rapid social‑media virality — any of these can materially shift the #1 race in the final days before the chart publishes.