| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manchild | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Your Idol | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Soda Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Don’t Say You Love Me | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BIRDS OF A FEATHER | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| back to friends | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Die With A Smile | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| APT. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| luther (with sza) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SWIM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raindance (Feat. Tems) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific track will finish 2026 as the top-streamed song on Spotify. It matters because it aggregates collective expectations about which releases, artists, and cultural moments will dominate global streaming during the year.
Spotify ranks songs by streams and publishes charts that reflect both short-term virality and long-term listening; year-end leaders can be new hits that explode quickly or older tracks that sustain massive play counts. Industry behavior — release timing, playlist promotion, cross-platform virality (for example on short-form video), touring, and sync placements — has produced surprises in past years and will shape outcomes in 2026.
Market prices on this event represent traders' aggregated beliefs about which named outcome will be the Spotify top song for 2026 and will update as news and listening trends change. Treat prices as dynamic indicators that react to releases, promotion, and viral events rather than fixed forecasts.
Settlement will follow the market's stated rules on the event page; typically 'top' refers to the track with the most Spotify streams in the stated measurement window (the calendar year), so verify the market description and KALSHI settlement terms for the precise metric and data source used.
Each listed outcome corresponds to a specific named song (or in some markets a category such as 'Other'); an outcome pays if that named song is the one identified by the market's settlement criteria as the 2026 top track — check the event page to see which candidates and any catch-all outcomes are included.
If the close is TBD, trading remains open until the platform sets a firm close; the market will later settle using Spotify's official counts for the 2026 period after that period ends, so monitor the event page for the announced close and settlement timeline.
Useful patterns include: rapid early accumulation from blockbuster releases, sustained streaming over many months for catalog hits, the outsized effect of viral moments, playlist inclusion stability, and regional breakout tracks that achieve global reach — examine past year-end leaders to see which combination of these factors applied.
Watch official release dates, surprise drops or deluxe editions, viral trends on social platforms, major playlist adds or removals, high-profile syncs (films, TV, ads, sports events), large-scale tours or festival appearances, and any public changes to streaming availability or rights.