| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Girls | 88% | 20¢ | 89¢ | — | $208 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 6% | 1¢ | 98¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 6% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $50 | Trade → |
| Paint By Numbers | 10% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Dance No More | 10% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| Aperture | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pop | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| back to friends | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ready, Steady, Go! | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Coming Up Roses | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ordinary | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Waiting Game | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Season 2 Weight Loss | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raindance (feat. Tems) | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carla's Song | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taste Back | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Are You Listening Yet? | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific song will be Spotify's #1 Global track on March 7, 2026, letting traders express beliefs about short-term streaming dominance. It matters because the outcome reflects how release timing, promotion, and listener behavior translate into measurable global reach on a single day.
Spotify's daily global chart aggregates billions of streams and is a widely watched indicator of a song's commercial momentum in the streaming era. In recent years, playlist placement, coordinated fan streaming, social-media virality, remixes and feature drops have been frequent drivers of single-day rises and falls on the Global chart. This market packages those dynamics into a single observable outcome for one calendar date.
Prediction market odds aggregate participant beliefs and react quickly to new information (releases, playlist adds, viral trends), so they are a live snapshot of collective expectations rather than a guarantee. Use odds as a real-time signal that should be weighed alongside direct evidence from Spotify charts and promotional activity.
Settlement will follow the market's published rules and the official Spotify Global chart snapshot corresponding to March 7, 2026; consult the market page for the exact data source and the chart timestamp used for resolution.
The market creator specified 27 candidate songs at launch; that outcome list is fixed for this market, so new songs that emerge after creation will not be added — verify the full list on the event page.
Resolution procedures vary by market and are defined in the event rules; they typically specify how to handle missing or unexpected results (for example, paying a designated outcome or voiding), so check the market's official rule text for the precise mechanism.
The event's rules specify which Spotify daily snapshot and time zone define the date for settlement; because providers differ in cutoff times, review the market rules to see whether the chart uses UTC or another local cutoff for Mar 7, 2026.
Key actions include a coordinated release or remix timed just before Mar 7, major playlist adds by Spotify editors or high-traffic algorithmic placements, viral social-media trends, and big promotional events (TV performances, award show appearances) that drive concentrated streams in a short window.