| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk It All | 4% | 4¢ | 8¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| DtMF | 58% | 53¢ | 60¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 49% | 31¢ | 49¢ | — | $104 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lush Life | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| back to friends | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which single track will be Spotify's most-streamed song globally on March 2, 2026; it matters because daily Spotify chart leadership is a high-frequency signal of cultural momentum, marketing impact, and cross-platform virality.
Spotify's daily Global Top chart aggregates streaming behavior across dozens of territories and frequently reacts to new releases, playlist placements, and viral social-media moments. Historically, chart leadership can flip quickly after coordinated fan campaigns, surprise drops, major performances, or sudden meme-driven boosts — making single-day outcomes sensitive to short-term events.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which track will appear as #1 on Spotify's official Global daily chart for March 2, 2026; they are not forecasts of exact stream counts and can change as new information arrives.
Trading close time is set by the exchange and is currently TBD; the market will be resolved to whichever track is listed as #1 on Spotify's official Global daily chart for March 2, 2026 once that chart is published and confirmed by the exchange.
The exchange listed 15 specific track outcomes at market creation, typically reflecting likely contenders (current hits, recent releases, and wildcards); the definitive #1 will be whatever Spotify's official Global daily chart displays for that date.
Spotify's Global daily ranking is based on aggregated streams within its reporting period for that calendar day; the market uses the official Spotify Global daily chart (as published by Spotify) to determine the #1 track for March 2, 2026.
Resolution follows how Spotify presents its chart: if Spotify lists a specific version or aggregates versions under one track title, the exchange resolves to the exact track shown as #1 on Spotify's official Global daily chart for that date.
Key catalysts include a surprise single/album drop timed around the window, sudden viral trends or TikTok challenges, new placement on major Spotify playlists, a high-profile live performance or awards appearance, and coordinated fan streaming campaigns or promotional pushes.