| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raindance (feat. Tems) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| back to friends | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Fate of Ophelia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lush Life | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which track will appear as Spotify's Top Global Song on March 12, 2026; it matters because the top spot reflects immediate global streaming momentum and promotional effectiveness.
Spotify's Global Daily chart aggregates billions of streams across markets and is strongly influenced by release timing, playlist placement, and short-term viral activity. Historically, the #1 position has rotated between established superstars with coordinated release campaigns and breakout tracks propelled by social-media trends and playlist exposure.
Prediction market prices aggregate trader views and incoming information (new releases, playlist adds, viral spikes) and should be read as a real-time consensus signal rather than a static forecast.
Settlement will use Spotify's publicly reported Global Daily chart for March 12, 2026 as the authoritative source; the song listed at #1 on that chart for the charting day is the outcome used for this market.
Yes—if the release occurs early enough in Spotify's charting window and generates enough streams in that same chart day, it can appear as the top song; later-day releases typically have less time to accumulate streams and therefore a lower chance of reaching #1.
Playlist adds are a major driver of large-scale streams; being placed on high-traffic global playlists or many regional playlists on the same day can materially increase a song's streaming totals for the March 12 chart day.
This market settles according to its listed outcomes and the exchange's rules; if the actual #1 is not among the specified outcomes, settlement will follow the market's stated fallback procedures (for example, an 'Other' outcome or adjudication by the exchange).
Sudden virality and late promotional activity are incorporated into market prices as traders react; because the underlying chart is finalized by Spotify for the March 12 chart day, only streams recorded in that charting window affect the official #1 designation used for settlement.