| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 40% | 40¢ | 99¢ | — | $60 | Trade → |
| The Fate of Ophelia | 64% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $8 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| back to friends | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lush Life | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Raindance (feat. Tems) | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which single will occupy Spotify's #1 spot on the Global chart for March 10, 2026. The outcome signals which track has the strongest streaming momentum and cultural reach on that specific date.
Spotify's Global chart is a widely watched streaming metric that reflects listener behavior across many countries; chart positions are driven by raw stream counts, playlist exposure, and regional listening patterns. Historically, chart-toppers are driven by coordinated release strategies, major collaborations, playlist inclusion, and sudden viral moments — but unexpected spikes (from syncs, trends, or live events) also produce surprises.
Market odds show collective expectations about which track will be #1 on that date; treat them as a dynamic indicator that updates with new information rather than a fixed prediction.
It refers to the track that Spotify publishes as the #1 entry on its Global chart for March 10, 2026; the market will use Spotify's official published chart for that date as the reference for resolution.
Resolution occurs after Spotify's official Global chart for Mar 10, 2026 is published; the platform operating this market will set the trading close time (listed as TBD), so plan to trade before that deadline and monitor pre-release and promotional activity in the days immediately prior.
The market follows Spotify's published entry: if Spotify lists a remix or a combined/aggregated version as the #1 track, that exact listing is treated as the winner. How streams are credited depends on Spotify's metadata and aggregation practices.
Yes. Large, concentrated streaming activity in major markets or during the chart's counting window can produce rapid rank changes on a daily chart, so last-minute regional surges can create surprises.
Events that commonly shift odds include scheduled release dates, surprise drops, major playlist adds, viral social-media moments (especially on TikTok), high-profile live performances or broadcasts, and prominent sync placements in film/TV in the days leading up to Mar 10.