| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridgerton: Season 4 | 99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| The Night Agent: Season 3 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Katt Williams: The Last Report | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $840 | Trade → |
| Love Is Blind: Ohio | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $336 | Trade → |
| The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $230 | Trade → |
| Famous Last Words: Eric Dane | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| The Hunting Party: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| Raw: 2026 - February 16, 2026 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| Sommore: Chandelier Fly | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
| Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $200 | Trade → |
This market asks which Netflix show will be ranked the Top Global Netflix Show during the specified week; it matters because it aggregates expectations about global viewership and cultural momentum. The outcome reflects which program captures the largest audience footprint on Netflix's weekly global list as defined by the market.
Netflix publishes weekly global charts that summarize which titles receive the most attention across regions; prediction markets like this let participants trade on which title will lead that list in a given week. Historical patterns show that release timing, global distribution windows, and marketing campaigns strongly influence which shows hit #1, and viral social-media momentum or awards buzz can flip short-term leaderboards.
Market prices here represent collective expectations about which show will top Netflix's published global ranking for the week; interpret them as a real-time consensus signal about relative chances rather than a fixed forecast.
The market resolves to whichever show is listed as #1 on the official Netflix global ranking used by the market for the defined week; check the market’s resolution rules to see which Netflix publication (e.g., the weekly Top 10 list or a specific metrics report) and timestamp are authoritative.
'This week' refers to the reporting period specified by the market and/or by Netflix’s weekly charting window; the market’s terms or KALSHI listing will state the start and end dates or the Netflix weekly period that will be used to determine the #1 title.
Yes — a mid-week premiere can top the weekly chart if it generates enough viewership in the remainder of the reporting window, especially when bolstered by heavy promotion or viral attention; however, earlier releases in the week have more time to accumulate totals.
Competing premieres can split the audience and reduce the chance any single title hits #1; conversely, a dominant cultural moment or unique international appeal can allow one show to outperform rivals despite competition.
Resolution follows the authoritative source and timestamp specified in the market’s rules; if Netflix issues revisions, the market will resolve according to the version and timepoint named in the contract or follow KALSHI’s adjudication policy—consult the market details for the exact procedure.