| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trolls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trap House | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nobody 2 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Captive | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jurassic World: Dominion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jurassic World Rebirth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuremberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| War Machine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which film will be the #1 global movie on Netflix during the contract’s specified week; the outcome signals which title achieved the largest global traction on Netflix in that period. It matters because the top spot reflects viewing demand, release strategy effectiveness, and cultural reach across territories.
Netflix and other streamers publish regular rankings and viewership summaries that change how films are distributed and marketed; weekly top lists capture short-term momentum driven by new releases, catalog surges, and promotions. Over time, changes in reporting windows, international rollouts, and Netflix’s own metrics have influenced which titles surface at #1, so traders should track both release schedules and Netflix’s published data sources.
Market prices represent traders’ collective beliefs about which movie will occupy Netflix’s official #1 global position for the contract week and update as new information arrives. Use prices as a real-time signal combined with external information (release dates, marketing, early viewership reports) rather than definitive forecasts.
Resolution depends on the contract’s specified source and week: check the market page for the exact resolution definition (for example, the official Netflix weekly global ranking or a named Netflix report) and the week that will be used to pick the #1 title.
The market’s close/resolution date and time are set on the market page; if it’s listed as TBD, wait for the platform to publish the contract’s defined week and closing time or any amendment that specifies the resolution window.
Tie scenarios and missing data are handled according to the contract’s resolution and dispute rules—consult the market’s rules section for tie-break procedures or arbitration steps and contact platform support if the published source is ambiguous.
Staggered releases can suppress early global hours for a title, reducing its chance to reach #1 in a given week; films released simultaneously worldwide or that have broad regional availability typically have a better chance to accumulate global viewing during the specified week.
Focus on release date alignment with the contract week, Netflix promotion and homepage placement, franchise or star recognition, early critic and audience reactions, known regional rollouts, and the competitive slate of other new titles releasing that same week.