| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| War Machine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| KPop Demon Hunters | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deepwater Horizon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trolls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jurassic World: Dominion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trap House | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jurassic World | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jurassic World Rebirth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe’s College Road Trip | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the ten listed films will be the #1 global Netflix movie during the contract’s specified week. The outcome signals which title captured the most global viewer attention on Netflix in that week and is useful for gauging cultural momentum and commercial reach.
Netflix publishes weekly Top 10 lists that reflect platform viewing trends; the weekly #1 slot can flip quickly when a major new film drops or when sustained word-of-mouth boosts an older title. Prediction markets aggregate diverse information—release timing, promotion, reviews, and social interest—into a single market consensus that updates as new signals arrive.
Market prices represent the crowd’s evolving expectations about which listed title will finish first that week; price changes react to news (release dates, promotional pushes, early viewing signals) and should be read as real-time synthesis of available information rather than a fixed truth.
Settlement is based on the contract’s official definition—typically the title that appears at #1 on Netflix’s global weekly film ranking for the specified week. Confirm the precise settlement rule and the week boundary in the market description on KALSHI.
The market close time is listed on the platform (this contract currently shows Close: TBD). The winning outcome is determined after the relevant Netflix weekly ranking is published and the market operator completes settlement per the event rules.
Only the ten listed outcomes are eligible for settlement. If an unlisted title tops Netflix that week, the market’s contract specifies how that contingency is handled—review the market terms for the exact procedure.
Immediate movers include announced release dates, Netflix promotional placements, early viewership reports or leaks, viral social-media moments, major reviews or critic notices, and unexpected cancellations or delays.
Track Netflix’s weekly Top 10 updates, official Netflix announcements and press releases, entertainment trade publications, social-media engagement metrics for the candidate films, and intraday market price moves as a proxy for crowd reaction.