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Entertainment OPEN

Runner-up USA Song on Spotify on Mar 7, 2026?

📊 $3K traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$3K
Open Interest
2,116
Active Markets
27
Markets
27

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (27)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Stateside + Zara Larsson 29%
21¢ 28¢ $1K Trade →
Ready, Steady, Go! 66%
57¢ 63¢ $1K Trade →
Aperture 4%
$8 Trade →
American Girls 10%
10¢ $2 Trade →
Carla's Song 1%
$1 Trade →
NUEVAYoL 1%
$1 Trade →
So Easy (To Fall In Love) 1%
$1 Trade →
DtMF 1%
$1 Trade →
End of Beginning 1%
$1 Trade →
iloveitiloveitiloveit 1%
$1 Trade →
The Waiting Game 1%
$1 Trade →
Dance No More 1%
$1 Trade →
Taste Back 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
Coming Up Roses 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
Man I Need 0%
$0 Trade →
Risk It All 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
E85 0%
$0 Trade →
Pop 0%
$0 Trade →
Choosin' Texas 0%
$0 Trade →
Body 0%
$0 Trade →
Are You Listening Yet? 0%
$0 Trade →
Babydoll 0%
$0 Trade →
BAILE INoLVIDABLE 0%
$0 Trade →
I Just Might 0%
$0 Trade →
Season 2 Weight Loss 0%
$0 Trade →
Tití Me Preguntó 0%
$0 Trade →
Paint By Numbers 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which specific track will occupy the #2 slot on Spotify's U.S. chart on March 7, 2026 — the runner-up position on that day's U.S. Spotify Top 200. Placement on Spotify's U.S. chart matters because it reflects streaming momentum, fan engagement, and can influence radio, playlists, and industry perception.

Spotify's U.S. Top 200 is a daily leaderboard of the most-streamed tracks in the United States and is a widely followed barometer of commercial and cultural popularity. In recent years, chart movement has been driven by coordinated release strategies, playlist placements, viral social-media moments, and syncs/performances (award shows, TV appearances); legacy catalog tracks can also surge due to nostalgia or media placements. Market participants often use release calendars, playlist additions, and social signals to anticipate daily chart positions.

Market odds aggregate traders' expectations about which named track will be #2 on the specified date; interpret them as a snapshot of collective information and sentiment rather than definitive forecasts. Because odds update in real time, use them alongside independent evidence (release timing, playlist news, social trends) to form your view.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly will be used to determine the runner-up for 'Runner-up USA Song on Spotify on Mar 7, 2026'?

The market resolves to the song that is listed in the #2 position on Spotify's U.S. chart for March 7, 2026, as published by Spotify's official public charts at the time of resolution; the exact track title and artist text on Spotify determines the winning outcome.

How are the 27 outcomes defined for this market and what if the actual #2 isn't one of them?

Each of the 27 outcomes corresponds to a specific track name/artist pairing included in the market offering. If the actual #2 on Spotify differs from all listed outcomes, follow the market's official resolution rules or published fallback procedures (consult the market page for those specifics).

When will the market resolve and where can I check the official chart used for resolution?

Resolution occurs based on Spotify's published U.S. Top 200 for the date March 7, 2026; you can check Spotify's official charts page or the market's resolution source link for the final published ranking. The market's close time is listed as TBD on the market page, so monitor the event for any scheduling updates.

If a remix, alternate version, or collaboration appears on Spotify, will it be treated as a separate outcome?

Yes — Spotify treats distinct uploads with different track titles and artist attributions as separate chart entries; the market resolves to whatever exact track string appears at #2 on Spotify's published chart.

Which real-world events or promotions should I watch between now and Mar 7, 2026 because they commonly move songs toward the #2 spot?

Track release dates (especially Fridays), announcements of playlist adds, viral challenges that surface on short-form video platforms, televised performances or award-show appearances, music-video drops, and high-profile artist collaborations are all catalysts that often shift daily Spotify rankings.

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