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Entertainment OPEN

Runner-up USA Song on Spotify on Mar 6, 2026?

📊 $9 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$9
Open Interest
9
Active Markets
27
Markets
27

Trade This Market

Yes Bid
Yes Ask
Last Price
Prev Close
Buy YES → Buy NO

Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (27)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Stateside + Zara Larsson 18%
16¢ $5 Trade →
Risk It All 19%
17¢ $4 Trade →
Paint By Numbers 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
Taste Back 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
Carla's Song 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
Aperture 0%
40¢ 98¢ $0 Trade →
E85 0%
$0 Trade →
I Just Might 0%
$0 Trade →
Season 2 Weight Loss 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
Ready, Steady, Go! 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
Are You Listening Yet? 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
Coming Up Roses 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
Pop 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
Dance No More 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
The Waiting Game 0%
99¢ $0 Trade →
NUEVAYoL 0%
$0 Trade →
End of Beginning 0%
$0 Trade →
Body 0%
$0 Trade →
Choosin' Texas 0%
$0 Trade →
Man I Need 0%
$0 Trade →
Tití Me Preguntó 0%
$0 Trade →
BAILE INoLVIDABLE 0%
$0 Trade →
So Easy (To Fall In Love) 0%
$0 Trade →
iloveitiloveitiloveit 0%
$0 Trade →
American Girls 0%
25¢ 95¢ $0 Trade →
DtMF 0%
$0 Trade →
Babydoll 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which song will be number two on Spotify's U.S. daily chart on March 6, 2026; it matters because daily Spotify rankings reflect near-term listener attention and can indicate shifting popularity between contenders.

Spotify's daily charts are derived from aggregated streaming activity in the United States over a 24-hour window and are updated on a fixed daily cadence; chart positions respond quickly to new releases, playlist placements, and viral moments. Historically, small swings in promotion, playlist adds, or social virality can move a song between the top slots, so the runner-up often changes rapidly around release dates and high-profile events. This particular market lists 15 candidate outcomes and will resolve according to the market's stated data source and settlement rules for the March 6, 2026 U.S. chart snapshot.

Market odds reflect the collective expectations of participants about which song will be the runner-up on that date and will move as new information arrives; they are an aggregated signal, not a guarantee, and their reliability depends on market liquidity and the availability of information.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exactly will be used to determine the "runner-up" for March 6, 2026 in this market?

Resolution will use the Spotify U.S. daily chart snapshot for March 6, 2026 as specified by the market's official data source; the runner-up is the song listed in position number two on that chart snapshot.

How do the 15 outcomes in this market relate to the actual chart?

Each of the 15 outcomes corresponds to a specific song nominated when the market was created; if the song that finishes second on the official chart is not one of those outcomes, the market's posted settlement rules explain how such cases are handled, so consult the market page for that detail.

When will this market close and when is the resolution snapshot taken?

The market's close time is listed on the event page (currently TBD); resolution uses the Spotify U.S. daily chart corresponding to March 6, 2026, and the market's rules will state the exact timestamp or data feed used for the official snapshot.

What happens if Spotify issues a correction or updates its chart after March 6, 2026?

Most markets resolve based on the authoritative data source and timestamp declared in their rules; whether post-publication corrections are honored depends on those settlement rules, so check the market's official dispute and correction policy.

How should I combine this market's information with other indicators like playlist adds or social metrics?

Treat the market as one real-time aggregate signal and combine it with independent indicators — upcoming playlist adds, editorial support, social virality, release schedules, and touring — to form a fuller view; remember that thin trading volumes can limit how fully the market incorporates new information.

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