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Entertainment OPEN

Runner-up USA Song on Spotify on Mar 5, 2026?

📊 $20 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$20
Open Interest
10
Active Markets
15
Markets
15

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Yes Ask
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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (15)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Stateside + Zara Larsson 99%
75¢ 94¢ $20 Trade →
E85 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
So Easy (To Fall In Love) 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
I Just Might 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
End of Beginning 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
Babydoll 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
DtMF 0%
12¢ $0 Trade →
Body 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
Choosin' Texas 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
Man I Need 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
BAILE INoLVIDABLE 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
Tití Me Preguntó 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
NUEVAYoL 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
iloveitiloveitiloveit 0%
10¢ $0 Trade →
Risk It All 0%
20¢ $0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks which specific song will be the runner-up on Spotify’s US chart on March 5, 2026. It matters for tracking short-term streaming momentum, artist visibility, and reactions to promotions or events around that date.

Spotify’s daily charts reflect actual streaming activity and are commonly used by the music industry to measure consumption and popularity; chart positions can move quickly around major releases, playlist placements, and viral moments. Historically, established artists with major label support and strong playlist placements often occupy the top positions, but surprise hits and social-media-driven surges can displace expectations on short notice.

Market prices reflect the community’s collective expectations about which song will be second on that date and update as new information arrives (releases, playlists, performances). Use prices as a dynamic signal of how traders incorporate incoming news rather than as fixed predictions.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What exact data will be used to determine the runner-up for this market?

Settlement will use the Spotify US chart snapshot or API output specified in the market's settlement rules; consult the market description for the authoritative data source and any timezone or snapshot details, and refer to the exchange’s adjudication rules if the description is ambiguous.

How are the 15 outcomes defined and how can I verify which song corresponds to each outcome?

Each outcome is a specific song title and artist as listed on the market page; verify by comparing the exact outcome text with Spotify’s published US chart entries or the track IDs referenced in the market, and confirm spellings/versions (original vs remix) on the outcome list.

If Spotify reports a tie for second place on March 5, 2026, how will this market be resolved?

If the official Spotify snapshot shows a tie, settlement will proceed according to the exchange’s tie-breaking/adjudication procedures detailed in the market rules; check those rules for whether ties result in shared outcomes, use of additional metrics, or other resolution methods.

Will remixes or alternate track versions be treated the same as the original for settlement?

Settlement follows how Spotify lists tracks on the US chart: separate Spotify track IDs that appear separately on the chart will be treated as distinct entries unless the market explicitly consolidates versions in its outcome definitions—verify outcome labels for clarity.

Can a song released after March 5, 2026 be the runner-up for this market?

No; only songs that appear on Spotify’s official US chart snapshot for March 5, 2026 are eligible to be the runner-up for this market. Later releases do not affect the historical snapshot for that date.

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