| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Babydoll | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $667 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 90% | 85¢ | 89¢ | — | $265 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 11% | 11¢ | 15¢ | — | $202 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| EoO | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| E85 | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 85% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| Body | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 85% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be the #2 most-streamed (runner-up) track in the United States on Spotify for March 3, 2026; it matters because that position reflects short-term streaming momentum and visibility for artists on a specific chart date.
Spotify daily charts and streaming totals are driven by plays across the platform and can swing quickly around release days, major playlist placements, and viral moments. Historically, chart positions around a single date are sensitive to release schedules, coordinated marketing, and short-form social media trends that can boost listens over 24-hour windows.
Market prices aggregate traders’ views about which song will occupy the runner-up slot on that specific date and update as new information arrives (releases, playlist adds, viral activity). Treat the market as a fast-moving indicator tied to real-time developments rather than a long-term forecast.
The market resolves to the song ranked second by Spotify streams in the U.S. for the calendar date March 3, 2026, based on the official Spotify stream counts or the publicly referenced Spotify chart used by the market for resolution.
Outcomes correspond to the 15 candidate songs listed on the market at creation; if the actual runner-up on Mar 3, 2026 isn’t one of those listed, resolution will follow the exchange’s published rules (check the market page and Kalshi’s rulebook for the platform’s handling of unlisted results).
The market’s close time is currently TBD — watch the market page for updates; the official result will be posted after Spotify’s relevant daily stream totals or chart for March 3, 2026 are available and after the exchange completes its verification and resolution process.
Monitor artist release calendars, major playlist additions or removals, trending short-form content that features a song, scheduled TV or live performances, and any news (collaborations, remixes, or high-profile syncs) that could generate a rapid increase in streams.
Use public signals — announced releases, playlist placement reports, social virality metrics, and media coverage — to assess near-term streaming momentum for candidates; combine that monitoring with position sizing and risk limits because single-day streaming ranks can be highly volatile.