| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SWIM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| iloveitiloveitiloveit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Body to Body | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mr. Brightside | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| weren't for the wind | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be the #2 (runner-up) on Spotify's U.S. daily chart on March 23, 2026. It matters because daily chart position signals streaming momentum and industry attention, which can affect promotion, radio adds, and playlist strategy.
Spotify's U.S. daily chart ranks songs by streams in the United States over a 24‑hour period; runner-up denotes the second-most-streamed track on that date. Chart outcomes often reflect a mix of release timing, editorial playlist support, fan streaming campaigns, and viral social-media moments. Historical chart behavior shows that major new releases, playlist placements, and sudden viral trends frequently reorder daily positions.
Market prices on this event aggregate trader beliefs about which named song will occupy #2 on the specified date; prices move as new information (releases, playlist additions, viral activity) arrives. Use market prices alongside official Spotify chart publications and industry news—they are an information signal, not a guarantee.
The outcome is the song that appears in second place on Spotify's published U.S. daily chart for March 23, 2026, as determined by Spotify's own streaming tally and chart publication for that date.
The market lists 15 named candidate outcomes, each representing a specific song and primary credited artist; traders buy and sell shares in those named outcomes. If the actual runner-up is not among the listed outcomes, the exchange's official resolution policy (see KALSHI rules) describes fallback procedures.
The market's closing time is listed as TBD; the market will resolve after Spotify publishes the U.S. daily chart for March 23, 2026 and the exchange applies its published settlement rules. Check the KALSHI platform for the official close and resolution timestamps once announced.
Spotify counts streams by track ID and aggregates according to its metadata policies; remixes or alternate versions with separate track IDs will typically chart separately unless Spotify aggregates them, and featured-artist credits appear as shown on Spotify's chart—settlement follows Spotify's published listing.
Major influences include surprise or scheduled album/single releases by high-profile artists, large editorial playlist adds, rapid viral adoption on social platforms, major live performances or TV appearances, and sudden sync placements in widely viewed media.