| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merry Go Round | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hooligan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Body to Body | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| FYA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aliens | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NORMAL | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SWIM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| iloveitiloveitiloveit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2.0 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which track will be the #2 song on Spotify's U.S. chart on March 22, 2026. It matters because daily Spotify chart positions are a leading indicator of streaming momentum, visibility, and commercial impact for artists and songs.
Spotify's country-level daily charts rank individual track IDs by streams within a defined time window; industry participants watch those ranks for playlisting, radio interest, and promotional timing. Streaming-driven chart outcomes are shaped by release schedules, playlist editorial decisions, viral social media moments, and coordinated label or artist campaigns. This Kalshi market lists 15 candidate outcomes and will resolve according to the reporting source and rules specified by the contract.
Market odds summarize how traders collectively view the chances of each listed outcome based on available information and expectations; they update as news, releases, and listening patterns change. Odds are market signals, not guarantees — check the contract rules and official Spotify chart data for final determination.
Resolution will follow the contract's specified source and time window—typically the song that occupies the #2 position on Spotify's U.S. chart for March 22, 2026 as reported by the named data source; consult the market's rules page to confirm the exact chart feed and snapshot time used for settlement.
The market's close time is listed as TBD; you must check Kalshi for the official close timestamp and any last-trade cutoff relative to the chart observation period, because trading normally stops before the chart snapshot used for resolution.
If the actual runner-up is not one of the listed outcomes, settlement will follow the contract's contingency rules—common approaches include an 'Other' outcome, a designated alternate resolution, or voiding the market—so review the event's resolution and dispute procedures on the Kalshi contract page.
Spotify charts count streams at the individual track ID level and attribute positions based on metadata for that track; different versions/remixes with distinct track IDs are ranked separately, and collaborative credits depend on Spotify's displayed metadata, which the market will use for resolution.
Key near-term movers include new playlist adds or drops, a viral social clip or challenge that boosts streams rapidly, late-breaking promotional events (performances, press, playlist pushes), and any surprise releases or remix drops that change listening patterns in the 24–48 hours before the chart date.