| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I Just Might | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 43% | 43¢ | 69¢ | — | $239 | Trade → |
| Risk It All | 44% | 19¢ | 49¢ | — | $220 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NUEVAYoL | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| BAILE INoLVIDABLE | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| God Was Showing Off | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 4¢ | 48¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| End of Beginning | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cha Cha Cha | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tití Me Preguntó | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which song will be the runner-up (second-most streamed track) on Spotify’s USA daily chart for March 2, 2026. The outcome matters because a high daily rank drives visibility, playlist momentum, and short-term commercial impact for artists and labels.
Spotify’s daily charts compile on-demand streams in a given territory and are highly sensitive to release-day activity, playlist placements, social virality, and promotional events. Historically, debut-day spikes from new releases, coordinated fan streaming, and sudden viral trends (TikTok, sync placements, live TV performances) have caused rapid changes in daily chart positions.
Market prices aggregate traders’ views about which specific track will finish second on Spotify’s USA daily chart for March 2, 2026; prices update as new information arrives (release schedules, playlist adds, promo events). Use market movement as a real-time signal of changing expectations rather than a fixed forecast.
The runner-up is the track listed in second place on Spotify’s official USA daily chart for March 2, 2026, as published by Spotify. KALSHI will use Spotify’s published chart for that date as the authoritative source for settlement.
Settlement will rely on Spotify’s official USA daily chart (the daily Top 200 / country chart) as published on the date in question or via Spotify’s official data feeds referenced by KALSHI.
Streams are generally counted at the individual Spotify track ID level; remixes or alternate versions with separate track IDs are treated separately unless Spotify aggregates them under a canonical entry. KALSHI will follow Spotify’s published identification of tracks when determining the runner-up.
If Spotify’s official publication indicates a tie or applies a tie-break convention, KALSHI will follow Spotify’s official output for that date. Consult the market’s terms on the platform for how ties are resolved in settlement.
The market resolves after Spotify’s USA daily chart for March 2, 2026 is published and KALSHI verifies the official result; settlement timing follows KALSHI’s standard verification and payout procedures. Check the market page for any specific resolution updates and the platform’s settlement schedule.