| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk It All | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Just Might | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Man I Need | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mr. Brightside | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Babydoll | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Body | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| iloveitiloveitiloveit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Girls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DtMF | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Porch Light | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Choosin' Texas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| E85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which track will finish as the runner-up (second-most daily streams) on Spotify's U.S. chart for Mar 18, 2026. It matters because short-term streaming positions reflect commercial momentum, promotional events, and viral trends that move markets and industry decisions.
Spotify publishes daily stream counts and U.S.-specific charts; this market narrows the outcome to a single calendar day and lists 15 candidate tracks as outcomes. Historical context: daily Spotify positions can swing rapidly around major releases, playlist adds, viral moments, or coordinated fan activity, so a song that is near the top in the days before Mar 18 is often a relevant comparator.
Prediction market prices encode traders' aggregated assessments of which listed track will be second on Spotify's U.S. chart for that date. Treat prices as indicators of consensus expectations and information flow rather than fixed forecasts.
It means the market will resolve to the song that has the second-highest number of Spotify streams on Spotify's U.S. daily chart for the calendar date Mar 18, 2026, using the track identity as defined by Spotify and as matched to the market outcomes.
Resolution occurs after Spotify's U.S. daily chart for Mar 18, 2026 is published and the market operator verifies the reported stream counts; the official Spotify data used by the market platform is the determining source, and timing follows the platform's resolution policy.
Only the specific Spotify track IDs that map to the market's listed outcomes count; remixes or alternate versions with separate track IDs are typically treated as separate outcomes unless the market explicitly aggregates them—check the outcome labels on the market page.
Playlist adds and editorial promotion are major drivers of daily streams; a track added to large or high-engagement playlists in the days leading up to Mar 18 can materially increase its chance of finishing second, while loss of playlist support or removal can rapidly reduce streams.
Tie resolution depends on the market's published rules: some markets may accept Spotify's internal tie-break reporting if available, others may follow a fallback specified by the platform or declare multiple winning outcomes invalid. Consult the market's resolution rules or contact the platform for the specific tie-break procedure.