| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 95 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 90 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 92 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 93 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 97 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 96 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 45 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 60 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 94 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 75 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer bracket the film Project Hail Mary will fall into once the score used by the market is finalized. It matters because it aggregates expectations about the film's critical reception and reflects how critics and early screenings influence public perception.
Project Hail Mary is a high-profile adaptation of Andy Weir's best-selling science‑fiction novel; adaptations of popular novels often attract close critical scrutiny and strong audience interest. Critical response to adaptations, plus timing of festival showings, embargoes, and distribution strategy, have historically driven Rotten Tomatoes outcomes for similar releases.
Prediction market prices represent traders' collective expectations about which score bracket will be the official outcome at the resolution time specified by the market. Prices can move rapidly as new information—reviews, festival reactions, or release changes—arrives.
This market references the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as published on the film's Rotten Tomatoes page at the snapshot time specified by the market contract; consult the market contract on the exchange for the definitive metric and time of measurement.
The market currently lists the close time as TBD; the exchange will publish a closing time and the contract will state when the Tomatometer snapshot is taken for resolution—check the trading platform for updates and the official contract terms.
The market offers eight discrete outcomes corresponding to predefined Tomatometer score brackets (e.g., ranges of Rotten Tomatoes scores). The exact numeric boundaries for each bracket are listed on the market's outcome page within the exchange; refer there for the precise ranges.
Key movers include embargoed critic reviews being released, reactions from festival or press screenings, major publication reviews, changes to release date or distribution plan, and any widely reported production or creative team news that affects critical expectations.
Resolution uses the Tomatometer value at the exact time specified in the market contract or exchange rules. Updates made after that snapshot are typically not considered for resolution—confirm the precise snapshot rules in the contract.