| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Rossellini | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sandra Hüller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Margaret Qualley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Betty Gilpin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Anne Hathaway | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mariana di Girolamo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gemma Chan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Danielle Deadwyler | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Penélope Cruz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks which listed performer(s) will appear among the Academy's official nominations for Best Supporting Actress. It matters because the nominations shape awards-season momentum, industry recognition, and downstream markets for winners.
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences typically announces acting nominations during the awards-season nomination window; acting categories are usually hotly contested and influenced by both critics and industry voting patterns. Historically, a mix of expected frontrunners and occasional surprise nominees emerges, driven by critical reception, awards-season results, and studio campaigning.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders based on available information and will change as new evidence arrives; they indicate perceived likelihoods but are not guarantees of official Academy outcomes.
This market resolves based on the Academy's official nomination announcement for Best Supporting Actress; the exchange will use the Academy's published nominee list to determine winning outcomes and will publish resolution timing in its event rules.
Each outcome corresponds to a particular performer listed on this market's outcome slate; an outcome resolves as a win if that performer appears on the Academy's official list of Best Supporting Actress nominees for the relevant year.
Track critics awards and guild nominations and wins (especially SAG), major precursor ceremonies, film festival buzz, trade and mainstream press coverage, and any studio campaign activity that increases visibility for the performer.
Surprise nominations and late campaign surges have caused rapid market movement when they shift perceived voter consensus; because nominations are a single announcement event, new evidence close to the nomination window can produce large repricing.
The market will follow the Academy's official rules in force at the time of nomination; if the Academy alters procedures, traders should consult the exchange's event notice for any adjustments to resolution mechanics or outcome definitions.