| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Goodman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Channing Tatum | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Colman Domingo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charles Melton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Miles Teller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jesse Plemons | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tom Holland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Fassbender | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steve Buscemi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which actor will be named among the Oscar nominees for Best Supporting Actor; it matters because nominations shape awards-season prestige, future roles, and industry recognition.
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences nominates actors each awards season after voting by eligible members; supporting-actor fields often reflect a mix of veteran character performers, breakthrough turns, and performances buoyed by awards campaigning. Historical indicators such as SAG, critics', and guild awards, plus festival buzz and studio campaign intensity, frequently inform expectations going into nomination announcements.
Prediction market prices summarize collective expectations based on available information and update as new data arrives; they are signals of market sentiment rather than guarantees of final nominations.
Final outcomes are determined when the Academy publicly announces its official nominations; this market typically settles at that announcement, so check the market's listed close time which may match the Academy's nomination release.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific actor included in the market roster; a winning outcome is the actor who is officially named as a Best Supporting Actor nominee by the Academy.
Screen Actors Guild (SAG) nominations and wins, major critics’ awards, prominent festival prizes, and BAFTA results are commonly watched because they reflect peer recognition and press momentum that often carry into Academy voting.
Market operators may add or adjust outcomes prior to market close in accordance with platform rules, but changes are not automatic; review the market rules and announcements for any permitted modifications before the stated close.
Track SAG and guild nominations, major critics’ awards, late reviews and press profiles, studio campaign activity (advertising, screenings, surrogate interviews), eligibility or release-date updates, and any controversies or new information that could shift Academy member sentiment.