| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Digger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wild Horse Nine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Project Hail Mary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dune: Part Three | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Disclosure Day | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fjord | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Social Reckoning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Entertainment System Is Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Artificial | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Narnia: The Magician's Nephew | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Werwulf | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Behemoth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josephine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sense and Sensibility | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Love Boosters | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Death of Robin Hood | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Drama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ink | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| All of a Sudden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cry to Heaven | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Saturn Return | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Parallel Tales | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jack of Spades | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Being Heumann | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1949 / Fatherland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which entry(s) will receive Academy Award nominations for Best Picture; nominations are a key signal in awards season and can affect a film’s commercial and critical trajectory.
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences members vote to determine official Best Picture nominees; nomination announcements are traditionally made in the weeks leading up to the Oscars ceremony. Rules about eligibility and the number of nominees have changed over time, so the official Academy announcement is the final source for who is nominated.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders based on current information and will move as new news, awards results, or eligibility updates arrive; they are indicators of sentiment, not guarantees of outcomes.
They represent the distinct options the market creator has defined—typically individual films (and sometimes aggregate options); the market will settle based on the Academy’s official Best Picture nomination announcement.
The official close time is set by the platform (currently TBD), and the market will resolve to the list of Best Picture nominees as announced by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences using the platform’s published settlement rules.
Platform operators may add or remove outcomes prior to market close according to their rules; after the market is closed for trading, outcomes are typically fixed and settlement follows the Academy announcement.
Major festival prizes, wins at critics’ or guild awards, widely reported screening responses, studio campaign launches, and any official eligibility or disqualification notices are the most common catalysts.
Markets aggregate real-money bets and a range of information sources, including insider signals, early screening feedback, and risk sentiment, which can diverge from individual critics’ or pundits’ analyses.