| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
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| Clayface | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Digger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dune: Part Three | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Social Reckoning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which film(s) will receive Oscar nominations in the Academy Award category for Best Makeup and Hairstyling. It matters because nominations shape awards-season narratives, industry recognition for practical and creative makeup/hair teams, and downstream awards and box-office effects.
The Academy Award nominations for Makeup and Hairstyling are decided under rules set by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and historically reward transformative character work, prosthetics, period hairstyling, and visible craft that contributes to storytelling. Over time the category has evolved with changes in technique, the rise of prosthetic and character-based work, and occasional updates to eligibility and voting procedures.
Prediction market prices reflect traders’ collective assessment of which outcomes are most likely given current information and update as new evidence (releases, screenings, trade press, guild awards) emerges. Treat market prices as dynamic signals, not immutable forecasts.
This market lists five distinct outcomes related to who will receive nominations for the Oscar category Best Makeup and Hairstyling; consult the market page for the exact labels and outcome definitions for this event.
The market close is listed as TBD; typically these markets close shortly before or at the time the Academy publicly announces nominations, so expect it to close around the official nominations release for the Oscars.
Nomination ballots in this category are produced under Academy rules and are typically determined by members of the Makeup Artists & Hairstylists Branch; final winners are then voted on by the wider Academy membership.
A total volume of $0 indicates no trading activity yet; low liquidity means prices (when trading begins) may be more volatile and reflect fewer participants, so interpret early prices with caution until volume grows.
Key movers include official film release and qualifying run confirmations, guild nominations and wins (e.g., Makeup Artists & Hairstylists Guild), festival and trade-press coverage highlighting makeup/hairstyling, public demos or behind-the-scenes features, and any Academy rule updates affecting eligibility.