| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1949 / Fatherland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| All of a Sudden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bitter Christmas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Coward | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Parallel Tales | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fjord | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Minotaur | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Beloved | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Man I Love | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hope | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which entries will be among the Academy Awards' nominees for Best International Feature Film; it matters because nominations signal industry recognition and drive awards-season momentum for those films.
The Academy's International Feature Film category (renamed from Best Foreign Language Film in 2019) accepts one official submission from each country and then narrows entries via Academy committees into a final set of nominees. The nominations announcement typically occurs during awards-season nomination releases; the exact timing and the Academy's shortlist and voting procedures determine which films move forward.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders based on available information and will move as festivals, awards, and Academy announcements provide new signals; view them as a real-time consensus snapshot rather than a fixed prediction.
This market will resolve based on the Academy's official nominations release; the exact close or resolution time depends on when the Academy publishes the nomination list during the awards-season nomination announcements.
This market lists five outcomes, reflecting the Academy's longstanding practice of selecting a small set of official nominees for the International Feature category; the market structure is designed to match the category's formal nominee count.
Eligible films are those submitted by their countries and meeting the Academy's international-feature eligibility rules (including release-window and predominant non-English dialogue requirements); only films that could legitimately appear on the Academy’s official nomination list are relevant here.
Movements commonly follow festival awards and jury prizes, inclusion on the Academy shortlist if announced, major distributor campaign launches or screenings for Academy members, high-profile reviews, and any official disqualification or eligibility rulings.
Rule or shortlist changes from the Academy are material events that alter which films are eligible or likely to be nominated; traders should treat such announcements as new information that can materially affect expectations and market pricing.