| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuisance Bear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| One in a Million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Part | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tutu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which film(s) will appear among the Academy Award nominations for Best Documentary Feature Film; it matters because nominations strongly shape awards-season attention, distribution, and future commercial and critical opportunities for documentaries.
The Academy’s Best Documentary Feature nominations are chosen by members of the Documentary Branch after a season of festivals, theatrical/qualifying runs, and shortlists; a handful of high-profile festivals and awards often drive early attention. Historically, films that combine strong festival showings, awards-season campaigning, and topical or human-interest stories tend to surface in the nomination conversation.
Market prices are a live, aggregate signal of how participants expect the Academy to nominate this category; they update as new information (festival awards, press coverage, eligibility developments, branch voting guidance) becomes available and should be used as one input among reporting and historical patterns.
This market will resolve based on the Academy’s official nominations announcement for the Best Documentary Feature Film category; check the market page for the exact resolution timestamp and any exchange-specific rules tied to the Academy’s public release.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific film or an outcome label shown on the market page; an outcome wins if it matches the Academy’s official nomination list as defined in the market rules (for example, a listed film that receives a nomination). Review the market’s outcome definitions and resolution criteria on the platform before trading.
Shortlists and critics’ lists are informational events that often change market expectations but do not determine resolution; resolution is governed solely by the Academy’s official nominations as announced, regardless of prior shortlists or media coverage.
If a film becomes ineligible or is officially disqualified by the Academy prior to the nominations announcement, the market will resolve according to the platform’s stated rules, which typically follow the Academy’s final eligibility status; consult the market’s terms for specific disqualification handling.
Track official Academy press releases for nomination dates, major festival awards and premiere reports (Sundance, Telluride, TIFF, Venice, IDFA), trade coverage in Variety/Hollywood Reporter/Screen Daily, distributor announcements about qualifying runs and campaign screenings, and any Documentary Branch statements.