| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Lord | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christopher Miller | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Danny Boyle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Na Hong-jin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andrew Haigh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Christopher Nolan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steven Spielberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Fincher | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joel Coen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Martin McDonagh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paweł Pawlikowski | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Greta Gerwig | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daisy Edgar-Jones DEACTIVATED | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Olivia Wilde | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi event asks which listed directors will receive Academy Award nominations for Best Director; it matters because nominations set the field for awards-season momentum and industry recognition.
The Academy Award nominations for Best Director are announced annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and are shaped by the awards-season calendar, critical consensus, guild voting (notably the Directors Guild), and studio campaigning. Historically, the Best Director field often overlaps with Best Picture contenders but can diverge when directing is singled out for craft or innovation.
Market prices on this event reflect traders' collective assessment of which listed directors will be nominated; movement signals new information or shifting expectations but does not guarantee outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the Academy’s official Best Director nominations once they are announced; the event page shows 'Closes: TBD' indicating the market will settle when the Academy publishes its nominee list and per Kalshi’s resolution rules.
Each of the 10 outcomes corresponds to a specific director listed in this Kalshi market; an outcome is considered successful if that named director appears on the Academy’s official Best Director nomination list.
Yes—because the Academy nominates multiple directors in the Best Director category, multiple listed outcomes can resolve as winners if those directors are among the official nominees; the number of winning outcomes will match the number of Academy nominees.
Monitor DGA nominees/winners, major film festival awards, critics’ group awards, early-season festival buzz, and trade press reporting on studio campaigning—these indicators have historically been informative about nomination likelihood.
If the Academy’s official nominee is not among the market’s listed outcomes, the market will follow Kalshi’s stated resolution policy for unlisted nominees; typically only listed outcomes can resolve as winners, so consult the event’s resolution terms on the Kalshi page for the definitive rule.