| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Digger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dune: Part Three | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josephine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Odyssey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1949 / Fatherland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Project Hail Mary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which cinematographer will be listed among the Oscar nominations for Best Cinematography; it matters because nominations shape awards momentum and industry recognition for cinematographers and their films.
The Academy Award for Best Cinematography has a long history of recognizing visual craft and often parallels other industry honors such as the ASC Awards and major festival praise. Nomination shortlists are set by Academy voting rules and tend to reflect a mix of technical accomplishment, visibility during awards season, and peer recognition within the cinematography community.
Prediction-market prices aggregate public expectations about which cinematographers will be nominated and update as new information (guild awards, festival acclaim, eligibility rulings) appears; they are indicators of market sentiment, not official outcomes.
The Academy announces nominations on its official schedule; this market will resolve based on that official list. Check the platform for the market’s stated close and resolution rules, which typically align with the Academy announcement.
Each outcome on the market represents a specific nominee option as defined by the market creator. The market will resolve to whichever outcome matches the Academy’s official nomination list; consult the market’s description to see how outcomes correspond to names or groups.
Wins and nominations from the ASC Awards, major festivals (Cannes, Venice, TIFF), national critics’ societies, and cinematography-focused trade coverage are the most influential signals that shift expectations about Oscar nominations.
If a film’s cinematographer credit is changed or the Academy rules an ineligibility after initial lists, the official nominations and this market’s resolution will follow the Academy’s final determination; such rulings can add uncertainty until the Academy confirms nominees.
Resolution follows the Academy’s official announcement and any subsequent corrections. The market operator will apply its predefined resolution policy, which typically mirrors Academy updates; check the platform’s dispute and resolution procedures for details.