| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forgotten Island | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ray Gunn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toy Story 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wildwood | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hoppers | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which entry will be listed as a nominated film for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. It matters because Oscar nominations signal industry recognition, can reshape box office and streaming attention, and concentrate awards-season expectations.
The Academy Award for Best Animated Feature was introduced to recognize feature-length animation within the Oscars ecosystem and nomination processes are set by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Nominations are determined according to Academy rules and timelines (announcement date TBD for this season); studio release strategy, festival exposure, and peer voting within the animation branch have historically driven outcomes.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s consensus about which film(s) the Academy will officially name as nominees and will update as new information appears (festival awards, guild results, eligibility changes, studio campaigns). Treat prices as real-time signals of market sentiment, not fixed probabilities.
This market will resolve when the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences officially publishes the nominees for Best Animated Feature; the contract’s resolution rules use that official announcement as the authoritative source (announcement date is TBD).
Each outcome corresponds to a specific film listed in the market; an outcome is considered correct if that film appears on the Academy’s official nominee list for Best Animated Feature when nominations are announced.
Nominations for Best Animated Feature are determined under Academy rules by members of the branch responsible for animation (the Short Films and Feature Animation branch) following the Academy’s nomination and verification procedures; the Academy then announces the official list of nominees.
Watch festival premieres and jury awards, critics’ and guild awards, major trade coverage of studio campaigns, eligibility or release changes, and early screenings or critics’ lists—these are the frequent catalysts that shift market sentiment for animated-feature nominations.
Resolution follows the exchange’s contract terms using the Academy’s official nominations list as the source. If the Academy’s nominee count differs from the market structure, consult the market’s posted rules for tie-handling and resolution procedures; normally an outcome is resolved as correct only if that specific film appears on the official nominee list.