| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Digger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Wild Horse Nine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Project Hail Mary | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dune: Part Three | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Disclosure Day | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fjord | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Social Reckoning | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Entertainment System Is Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Artificial | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Narnia: The Magician's Nephew | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Werwulf | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Behemoth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josephine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sense and Sensibility | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| I Love Boosters | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Death of Robin Hood | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| The Drama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ink | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| All of a Sudden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cry to Heaven | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1949 / Fatherland | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which film will win the Academy Award for Best Picture; it matters because it aggregates real-time expectations about a high-profile cultural and industry outcome.
The Academy Awards (Oscars) are voted on by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences; Best Picture is the ceremony's top prize and is influenced by the full awards season calendar. Historically, guild awards, critical consensus, and the Academy's voting composition shape outcomes, and those signals evolve from nominations through the ceremony.
Market prices reflect how traders update beliefs as new information arrives; higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in an outcome, and prices will move in response to nominations, award wins, news, and campaign developments.
The event page indicates the close is TBD; the platform will publish the official closing time and any trading deadlines before the market ends. Markets of this type commonly close at or immediately after the Academy’s public announcement of the winner.
The 25 outcomes are the specific options listed by the market creator and typically include nominated films, potential contenders, longshots, or an "Other" option; check the market's outcome list on the event page for the exact entries.
Resolution will be based on the Academy’s official public announcement of the Best Picture winner at the Oscars ceremony; if there is any ambiguity or delay, the market operator’s published resolution rules will apply.
Those events provide new information about likely voters’ preferences and momentum, so traders update positions after nominations, guild award results, and major critics’ prizes, which typically move market prices.
If the Academy postpones or delays announcing a winner, the platform will follow its contingency and resolution policies—trading may be suspended or the market may remain open until the official public announcement is made.