| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Noah | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oliver | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Theodore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Henry | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mateo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elijah | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lucas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| William | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which baby boy name will be the single most common for births in 2025; it matters as a way to track cultural influence, media effects, and shifting naming preferences. Market prices here aggregate public expectations about that outcome.
Popular baby name lists are typically compiled from official birth registration data and have shown multi-decade patterns: slow-moving traditions punctuated by rapid shifts after high-profile cultural events or celebrity choices. Short-term drivers include film/TV characters, celebrity babies, viral social-media trends, and demographic shifts among birth cohorts.
Prices in this market summarize collective expectations about which listed name will top official records for 2025; interpret price movements as signals that new information (news, celebrity announcements, demographic data) is changing traders' consensus, not as fixed factual predictions.
The market will be resolved using the authoritative birth-name dataset specified on the market's rules page; commonly this is the national birth-registration authority's annual list (check the event page for the exact resolver).
Resolution occurs once the designated authority publishes the official 2025 baby-name rankings; the exact timing follows that publication schedule and is listed on the market's rules page (the market close time may be listed as TBD until then).
The winning outcome must match the exact name string as reported by the resolving data source; variant spellings, hyphenation, and compound names are treated according to the resolver's naming conventions, so check the market rules for how names are matched.
Any changes to the listed outcomes would be governed by the market operator's policies; refer to the market page for announcements — markets sometimes adjust listings before trading stabilizes, but changes are typically documented publicly.
Rapid price moves usually reflect new information affecting expectations about which name will top official counts (e.g., a viral celebrity announcement or an unexpected demographic report); they indicate shifting consensus among traders rather than definitive outcomes.