| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 20 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 22 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 25 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 27 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 30 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 32 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 35 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 37 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 45 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 50 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 55 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 60 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 65 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 70 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 75 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 90 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 95 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which Rotten Tomatoes score band the film "Michael" will register on Rotten Tomatoes. It matters because the Tomatometer snapshot used for settlement captures critical reception that can affect audience interest and commercial performance.
Rotten Tomatoes aggregates critic reviews into a single displayed score that is frequently cited by viewers and industry watchers. For films like "Michael," early festival reviews, critic embargoes, and the mix of mainstream and specialty critics have historically driven rapid shifts in the displayed score during the days and weeks around release. Prediction markets for review scores let traders incorporate incoming reviews, embargo breaks, and publicity into a tradable signal.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which score band will be recorded at the official settlement snapshot; prices update as new information (reviews, screenings, publicity) arrives. To understand a current price you should compare it against recent news (festival reactions, critic embargoes, distribution plans) rather than interpreting it as a fixed forecast.
Check the market's contract text on the exchange page: some markets specify the critics Tomatometer, others the audience score or a specific snapshot; the market definition determines which metric is used for settlement.
Settlement timing is defined in the market rules on the exchange page — markets often use a specific UTC timestamp tied to Rotten Tomatoes’ displayed score on a given date or at a specific after-release snapshot, so consult the contract for the exact settlement moment.
Outcome definitions (the score ranges that correspond to each of the 11 options) are listed in the market’s outcome descriptions on the exchange; review those boundaries before trading so you understand which possible displayed scores map to which outcome.
Settlement follows the exchange’s contract rules and the specific snapshot of Rotten Tomatoes it uses; if the contract specifies a fixed timestamp or the score 'as displayed' at settlement time, only reviews included by that moment will affect the settled score.
Festival reactions and early reviews can drive large moves if they indicate a consensus among critics; embargoed reviews and limited early screenings introduce uncertainty — consider the number and influence of critics likely to publish before the market’s settlement snapshot and how outlets that review early historically influence the aggregated score.