| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 6 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 9 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 12 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 15 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 18 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 21 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 25 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 30 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 35 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 40 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 50 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict how many weekly views the show that ranks #1 on Netflix will receive during the specified week. It matters because weekly view totals drive perception of a show's popularity and influence advertising, renewals, and media coverage.
Netflix releases weekly view and top-chart information in different formats (global vs. regional, and with varying view-definition thresholds), and streaming performance spikes when new seasons or high-profile releases land. Historical context: some shows post very large debut-week numbers driven by marketing and binge behavior, while others accrue views more slowly across weeks.
Market odds reflect collective expectations about which view-range outcome will match the official weekly reporting source specified on the market page. Always consult the market's resolution criteria to understand exactly which reported metric will determine settlement.
The resolution period is defined in the market's rules on the event page; it will specify start and end dates/times (often a week in UTC). Check that section for the authoritative measurement window.
The market resolves to whichever title is declared #1 according to the ranking source listed in the event's resolution criteria (for example, Netflix’s Top 10 lists or a specified Netflix report). The event page states whether that ranking is global, regional, or otherwise filtered.
The settlement uses the view-definition from the data source named in the market rules; that could be Netflix’s proprietary viewed-hours/streams metric or a third-party aggregator. The event page’s resolution clause specifies which definition applies.
Each outcome corresponds to a pre-defined view-range bracket listed on the market page. After the measurement week ends, the official reported weekly view total from the specified source is compared to those brackets and the bracket containing the reported number wins.
The event’s contingency and dispute rules govern such cases; common options include using an alternate named data source, delay of settlement until authoritative data is available, or cancellation per the market’s arbitration procedure—details are on the market’s resolution and disputes section.