| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 25 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 12 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 15 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 30 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 50 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 6 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 18 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 21 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 9 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 35 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which pre-set view-count range the #1 show on Netflix will fall into for a specified week, letting traders express expectations about audience size and momentum. It matters because week-to-week view performance signals a show's popularity, marketing effectiveness, and potential cultural impact.
Netflix top-show weekly view totals fluctuate with new releases, season drops, marketing pushes, and competing premieres across platforms. This market has 11 discrete outcome buckets; it will settle to the bucket that contains the officially reported weekly view total for the top-ranked Netflix show, per the market's settlement rules. The market's close time is listed as TBD, so timeline details will be announced by the platform prior to settlement.
Odds in this market reflect the aggregate market view of which view-range outcome is most likely given available information; they are not guarantees and will change as new data, releases, and buzz emerge. Use them as a real-time consensus signal rather than a fixed forecast.
Each outcome corresponds to a pre-defined range of weekly views; the market settles to the single outcome whose range contains the officially reported weekly view total for the #1 Netflix show, according to the market's settlement rules. Consult the contract text on the trading platform for the exact bucket boundaries and settlement source.
'This week' and the market close are defined in the event's contract terms; the event currently lists the close time as TBD, so traders should monitor the platform for the announced measurement window and final close time before trading.
Settlement follows the data source specified in the market contract—typically an official Netflix report or another named industry source. Always check the market's rules page to confirm the exact source and any tie-breaking procedures.
A high-profile Netflix premiere or a competing release can materially change weekly view totals: new seasons can boost the top show's views, while major competing launches or cultural events can suppress them. Timing relative to the measurement window is critical.
Yes—examining past weekly patterns for similar shows, release strategies, and promotional cycles can provide context, but past trends are not determinative. Markets also incorporate real-time signals like social buzz and reviews, so update your view as new information arrives.