| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 21 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 18 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 30 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 12 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 50 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 9 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 35 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 6 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 40 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 25 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 15 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which view-count bucket the #1 show on Netflix will fall into during the defined weekly measurement window. It matters because the top show's weekly views are a direct signal of audience demand and can influence licensing, renewals, and industry coverage.
This KALSHI market offers 11 discrete outcomes that map to different view-count ranges for the weekly #1 Netflix title; total volume traded is currently listed at $0 and the market close is TBD. Netflix and industry trackers publish weekly top-title view metrics, but the exact measurement and source used for settlement are defined in the contract for this market.
Market prices aggregate trader expectations about which view-count range will be realized; changes in price reflect new information (releases, reviews, promotion) and collective reassessment of where the top show's weekly views are likely to land.
Settlement follows the measurement definition specified in the market contract; typically the #1 show is the title with the highest official views during the defined weekly window as reported by the chosen data source in the contract. Check the market rules for the exact source and tie-break procedures.
Each of the 11 outcomes corresponds to a clearly labeled view-count range in the market description. Traders should read the outcome labels and the contract to see the precise numeric boundaries and any inclusive/exclusive endpoints.
That depends on the contract's metric (title-level vs. episode-level). The market description will state whether view totals aggregate across all episodes of a series, count only a new episode, or use Netflix's title-level definition—verify the settlement rules before trading.
The market's measurement window and close time are set in the event page and contract; because the posted close is TBD, check the event page regularly for updates. The settlement period often aligns with the reporting cadence of the chosen data source, but the contract provides the authoritative calendar and timezone.
The contract will specify whether final published figures, a publisher revision window, or an authoritative snapshot at a given timestamp is used for settlement. Review the settlement rules to see which published version of Netflix's numbers is accepted and how disputes are resolved.