| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 15 million | 1% | 2¢ | 10¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| At least 18 million | 1% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| At least 30 million | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $651 | Trade → |
| At least 9 million | 96% | 95¢ | 100¢ | — | $166 | Trade → |
| At least 12 million | 87% | 94¢ | 100¢ | — | $107 | Trade → |
| At least 25 million | 2% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $70 | Trade → |
| At least 21 million | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $38 | Trade → |
| At least 35 million | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 40 million | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 50 million | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 6 million | 0% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how many weekly views the #1 show on Netflix will receive during the specified reporting week. It matters because weekly top-view totals capture streaming popularity and can signal cultural momentum, advertising value, and subscriber engagement.
Netflix publishes weekly view totals and top-show rankings that fluctuate with new releases, marketing pushes, and seasonal viewing patterns. The top show's weekly view count is driven by release timing (new season vs. catalog content), global availability, and competing premieres on other platforms; this market has 11 discrete outcome ranges and will resolve against the official data source specified on the event page. Close time is currently TBD, so check the market for the definitive cutoff and resolution rules.
Market odds reflect the collective expectation of traders about which view-range the #1 show will land in and will update as new information arrives. Interpret prices as the market's relative assessment of outcomes, not fixed forecasts — they move with announcements, premieres, and real-world viewing data.
Close time is listed as TBD on the event page; the market will use the cutoff and reporting-week definition shown in the official event rules and will resolve after the official weekly view totals for that period are published by the designated data source.
The 11 outcomes are discrete view-count ranges (tiers) covering possible weekly totals for the #1 show; each outcome corresponds to a specific range that will be used to determine which bin the reported weekly view total falls into at resolution.
The #1 show is the title that records the highest official weekly view total within the market’s defined reporting window, based on the data source specified in the market’s resolution rules.
Resolution will rely on the source listed in the event’s resolution rules—typically Netflix’s official weekly Top 10 or its published view totals, or a designated aggregator; consult the event page for the exact source and any tie-break rules.
Key signals include surprise episode drops or delays, marketing campaigns, major cast interviews or viral moments, competing platform releases, regional availability updates, and any official corrections or changes to Netflix’s reported numbers.