| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 6 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 9 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 12 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 15 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 18 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 21 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 25 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 30 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 35 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 40 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 50 million | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the weekly viewership volume of the top-ranked film on Netflix, serving as a barometer for global streaming consumption trends. It allows participants to quantify the commercial performance of major digital content releases.
Netflix reports viewing data based on the 'views' metric, which is calculated by dividing total hours watched by the total runtime of the film. This data is released weekly, capturing audience retention and the reach of blockbusters versus niche genre pieces. Factors such as holiday periods, star-studded casting, and promotional marketing pushes often create significant fluctuations in these weekly figures.
The price of each outcome represents the collective market expectation for the viewership range, where higher prices indicate higher confidence in that specific outcome occurring.
Netflix defines a view as the total hours watched divided by the total runtime of the title.
Data is generally sourced from Netflix's 'Top 10' weekly report, which typically covers data from Monday to Sunday of the preceding week.
Netflix's reporting window captures all activity within the standard Monday-Sunday cycle, regardless of the film's specific release date within that week.
Yes, Netflix aggregates viewership across all subscription tiers, including ad-supported and ad-free plans.
The market utilizes the official weekly Top 10 lists published by Netflix as the authoritative data source.