| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $467 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $374 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 2% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $264 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 7% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $67 | Trade → |
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 98% | 89¢ | 100¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict how many Spotify streams the single top-ranked song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart will have on March 9, 2026. Outcomes can inform expectations about a song's commercial reach, promotional impact, and short-term popularity dynamics.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA ranks tracks by their daily stream counts within the U.S.; that ranking can be driven by new releases, playlist placements, artist campaigns, and viral social-media moments. Historical top-song stream totals vary widely depending on artist stature, release timing, playlist inclusion, and contemporaneous cultural events; this market translates those uncertainties into tradeable outcomes. The market offers discrete outcome buckets (21 total) that map to different stream-count ranges for the top song on the specified date.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants about which stream-range outcome will match Spotify's reported top song for March 9, 2026, and they will move as news and signals arrive. Treat market prices as a live, consensus signal to be combined with independent data (release calendars, playlist updates, social metrics) rather than as definitive forecasts.
The top song is the track that appears with the highest number of streams on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA chart for March 9, 2026, as reflected in Spotify's official published charts used for settlement.
Settlement is based on Spotify's official Daily Top Songs USA reporting for March 9, 2026; the platform running this market will use Spotify's published chart or other Spotify-designated official data as the authoritative source.
Each of the 21 discrete outcomes corresponds to a specific stream-count range for the top song on that date; only the outcome whose range contains Spotify's reported stream total for the top-ranked track will resolve as the winning outcome.
Key signals commonly arrive in the week leading up to the date: announced release dates, playlist adds, pre-release marketing, social virality indicators, and any last-minute promotional appearances — monitor those in the days immediately before March 9.
Only streams counted by Spotify toward its U.S. daily chart for March 9, 2026 will determine the result; the market relies on Spotify's own methods and reporting window for daily counts, so traders should account for Spotify's regional and reporting conventions as described by Spotify's charts documentation.