| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,000,000 - 1,999,999 | 99% | 78¢ | 100¢ | — | $838 | Trade → |
| 2,000,000 - 2,999,999 | 30% | 0¢ | 29¢ | — | $19 | Trade → |
| 20,000,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3 | Trade → |
| 7,000,000 - 7,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 13,000,000 - 13,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000,000 - 8,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 6,000,000 - 6,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000,000 - 19,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 4,000,000 - 4,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 17,000,000 - 17,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 18,000,000 - 18,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 10,000,000 - 10,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 5,000,000 - 5,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 15,000,000 - 15,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 16,000,000 - 16,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000,000 - 9,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 14,000,000 - 14,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 999,999 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 12,000,000 - 12,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 11,000,000 - 11,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 3,000,000 - 3,999,999 | 0% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA will have in reported streams on Mar 8, 2026. It matters because that single-day stream total is a summary measure of listener attention and can signal commercial momentum or a viral moment.
Spotify's Daily Top Songs charts rank tracks by reported streams within a country over a daily reporting window; day-to-day totals for a chart-topper vary with release timing, playlist support, and social virality. Historically, top-stream numbers change with industry cycles (new-release Fridays, major promotional pushes, holidays) and with platform-level factors such as playlist strategy and algorithmic recommendation shifts.
Market odds aggregate traders' expectations about which stream-count outcome will be reported for Mar 8, 2026, and will move as new information arrives. Use the market price as a real-time signal of collective belief about the likely outcome, not as a fixed prediction.
The market resolves to the stream total reported in Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA for Mar 8, 2026 as used by the exchange; final resolution follows the market's stated data source and KALSHI's resolution policies.
Spotify's daily charts reflect streams within a 24-hour reporting window associated with that chart date; because platforms publish reporting-window specifics, consult Spotify's chart documentation and the market's resolution rules to confirm the precise cutoff used for Mar 8, 2026.
The market divides the possible stream totals into 21 discrete outcome buckets; the outcome that contains Spotify's reported stream count for Mar 8, 2026 will be the winning bucket as defined on the market page and in the exchange's rules.
Events that can move outcomes include unexpected high-profile releases, influential playlist adds or removals, viral social trends or challenges, major live performances or media placements, and competing releases that split listener attention.
Resolution follows the exchange's official dispute and data-substitution policies: the market will use the specified authoritative Spotify chart or archived report and apply KALSHI's procedures for corrections or ambiguities; consult the exchange's rulebook for the definitive resolution process.